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Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech · 2025 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#102
Efficiency
-6.4
90th FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
2-6
Conf. finish
T-13th
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Virginia Tech went 3-9 and was ranked 102nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 90th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 105th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 57% of offensive plays with a 17th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with a 105th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
1-5
Q3
0-1
Q4
2-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
109th
-4.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
21st
full season
21st
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
20th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.6 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs South CarolinaSEC#78L 1124-13.50%-8.6Q2
2vs VanderbiltSEC#15L 2044-22.80%-8.9Q1
3vs Old DominionSun Belt#37L 2645-12.10%-28.3Q2
4vs WoffordSouthernW 386+20.4100%3.0Q4
5@ NC StateACC#35W 2321-17.6100%13.3Q2
6vs Wake ForestACC#43L 2330-7.40%-5.5Q3
7@ Georgia TechACC#36L 2035-16.40%-8.2Q2
9vs CaliforniaACC#77W 4234+0.8100%-6.2Q4
10vs LouisvilleACC#29L 1628-14.70%-3.9Q2
12@ Florida StateACC#65L 1434-18.80%-12.6Q2
13vs Miami-FLACC#3L 1734-28.40%1.1Q1
14@ VirginiaACC#23L 727-20.10%-12.0Q1

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Virginia Tech, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-25.0-7.5+9.9-9-9-28313-6-8-6-4-131-12Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 105th
SR 114thYPP 105thEPA 104th
RushingEff 17th
SR 10thYPP 13thEPA 24th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 95th
SR 103rdYPP 82ndEPA 98th
Rush defenseEff 37th
SR 39thYPP 20thEPA 53rd
Dropback rate 43%Tempo -3.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 39th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 39%2nd · Defense allowed: 44%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 43%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 49%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 47.0Q1 · Allowed: 62.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 68.0Q2 · Allowed: 111.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 50.0Q3 · Allowed: 86.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 83.0Q4 · Allowed: 93.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledVirginia TechOffenseDefense
Virginia Tech Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 90th
-3.5
Field position: -1.3Finishing drives: -2.1
Field position -1.3Finishing drives -2.1= -3.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 111th · Finishing 82nd

Defensive EffRanked 105th
-5.5
Field position: +0.3Finishing drives: -5.8
Field position +0.3Finishing drives -5.8= -5.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 59th · Finishing 115th

1.61 points per drive on offense, 2.67 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(178)42% / 58%43%5.6
Q2(214)44% / 56%46%5.1
Q3(165)45% / 55%42%6.4
Q4(191)48% / 52%38%5.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(127)10.337%5.8
2nd(100)8.936%6.6
3rd(98)7.929%3.3
4th(12)5.558%14.5
All (337)35%5.6
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(195)10.050%6.4
2nd(138)7.241%5.3
3rd(63)5.560%6.3
4th(15)1.747%1.1
All (411)48%5.8

Virginia Tech, all games.